Stump BreakervThe Killer Kates

Winnston Park

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Win Predictor

Estimate · WinnTV model

Stump Breaker64%

The Killer Kates36%

Pre-match estimate · Based on: ratings from 51 past results

Early-stage estimateUpdated 1 Nov, 10:35:55

How this estimate works

An estimate from WinnTV’s own model, built only from this league’s results. It is not betting odds, not a guarantee and not an official result — it can be wrong.

Before the match: team ratings (Elo) from 51 past results across every season; a side with fewer than three results is pulled toward 50–50.
First innings: the batting side’s projected total against the typical total for this many overs, blended with the pre-match rating.
The chase: runs needed against balls left and lives still in hand, using the league’s usual scoring rate and spread.

Pre-match estimates picked the winner 65% of the time on 40 past matches (each judged only on results before it). Brier score 0.211 (a 50–50 guess scores 0.235; lower is better). Always picking the home side: 63%.

Early-stage: with this few results the estimate is a rough guide only.

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